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šŸ¦˜Cacatman's Personal Coronavirus COVID-19 Update Thread

Variants
ht_210317_variants_chart_690x489.jpg

 
COVID-19 Fuelling TB Epidemic
Impact of COVID-19 on the tuberculosis epidemic is much worse than they predicted a year ago.
 
Reinfection - 26 cases
Ie. rare

Dutch site following 1600 more cases

A majority of patients with COVID-19 are protected from reinfection over a span of at least 6 months, according to a new real-world assessment from Denmark.

Just 0.65% of approximately 4 million PCR test-positive COVID-19 patients returned another positive test in 2020. The findings would indicate that persons under the age of 65 years old have an approximate 80% likelihood of protection against COVID-19 reinfectionā€”while among older patients, protection was just 47%.
 
Advice for schools

Lower physical distancing policies can be adopted in school settings with masking mandates without negatively impacting student or staff safety. ie 3 feet distance vs 6 feet found to be ok.

Sharing a household with children and risk of COVID-19: a study of over 300 000 adults living in healthcare worker households in Scotland
Between March and October 2020, living with young children was associated with an attenuated risk of any COVID-19 and COVID-19 requiring hospitalisation among adults living in healthcare worker households. There was no evidence that living with young children increased adultsā€™ risk of COVID-19, including during the period after schools reopened.

Main outcomes COVID-19 requiring hospitalisation, and any COVID-19 (any positive test for SARS-CoV-2) in adults aged ā‰„18 years between 1 March and 12 October 2020.
Results 241 266, 41 198, 23 783 and 3850 adults shared a household with 0, 1, 2 and 3 or more young children, respectively. Over the study period, the risk of COVID-19 requiring hospitalisation was reduced progressively with increasing numbers of household childrenā€”fully adjusted HR (aHR) 0.93 per child (95% CI 0.79 to 1.10). The risk of any COVID-19 was similarly reduced, with the association being statistically significant (aHR per child 0.93; 95% CI 0.88 to 0.98). After schools reopened to all children in August 2020, no association was seen between exposure to young children and risk of any COVID-19 (aHR per child 1.03; 95% CI 0.92 to 1.14).
 
A Possible Reason Why Men Get COVID-19 Worse
Akiko Iwasaki, a professor of immunobiology at the Yale School of Medicine, noted that several genes involved in the immune systemā€™s response to viruses are on the X chromosome.

Women have two copies of this chromosome ā€” along with two copies of each gene. That gives women a backup in case one copy of a gene becomes defective, Iwasaki said.

Men, however, have only one copy of the X chromosome. So if there is a defect or harmful gene on the X chromosome, they have no other copy of that gene to correct the problem, Iwasaki said.

Bastard noted that one woman in the study who developed autoantibodies has a rare genetic condition in which she has only one X chromosome.
 
Anticoagulation Possibly a Key?
Blood-clot-promoting autoantibodies have been found in at least half of the serum samples collected from 172 patients hospitalized with COVID-19. These autoantibodiesā€”which are also linked to a dangerous autoimmune condition called antiphospholipid syndromeā€”are promising therapeutic targets. For example, if the clot-causing autoantibodies were to be neutralized or removed from the blood, perhaps by plasmapheresis, clotting could be lessened in patients with severe COVID-19.

Researchers are also currently running a randomized clinical trial called DICER, which is testing a well-known anticlotting agent, dipyridamole, in patients with COVID-19 to determine whether itā€™s more effective than a placebo in reducing excessive blood clots.

Some COVID-19 survivors have developed serious autoimmune diseases, which occur when an overactive immune system attacks the patient, rather than the virus. Doctors in Italy first noticed a pattern in March 2020, when several COVID-19 patients developed Guillain-BarrƩ syndrome, in which the immune systems attacks nerves throughout the body, causing muscle weakness or paralysis. As the pandemic has surged around the world, doctors have diagnosed patients with rare, immune-related bleeding disorders. Other patients have developed the opposite problem, suffering blood clots that can lead to stroke.

All these conditions can be triggered by ā€œautoantibodiesā€ ā€“ rogue antibodies that target the patientā€™s own proteins and cells.

Key immune players called ā€œhelper T cellsā€ typically help antibodies mature. If the body is invaded by a pathogen, these T cells can switch jobs to hunt down viruses, acting more like ā€œkiller T cells,ā€ which destroy infected cells. When an infection is over, helper T cells usually go back to their old jobs.

In some people with severe COVID-19, however, helper T cells donā€™t stand down when the infection is over, said James Heath, a professor and president of Seattleā€™s Institute for Systems Biology.

About 10% to 15% of hospitalized COVID-19 patients Heath studied had high levels of these cells even after clearing the infection. By comparison, Heath found lingering helper T cells in fewer than 5% of COVID-19 patients with less serious infections.

10% of nearly 1,000 COVID patients who developed life-threatening pneumonia had antibodies that disable key immune system proteins called interferons. These antibodies ā€” known as autoantibodies because they attack the body itself ā€” were not found at all in 663 people with mild or asymptomatic COVID infections. Only four of 1,227 healthy individuals had the autoantibodies. The study, published on Oct. 23, was led by the COVID Human Genetic Effort, which includes 200 research centers in 40 countries.

Half of the hospitalized COVID-19 patients had autoantibodies, compared with fewer than 15% of healthy people. While some of the autoantibodies were present before patients were infected with SARS-CoV-2, others developed over the course of the illness.

Hospitalized COVID-19 patients harbored a diverse array of autoantibodies.

Rogue autoantibodies in patients for up to 6 months following infections
 
COVID-19 Mortality Rates
Table 1
Estimated covid-19 mortality for different individuals based on the ALAMA COVID-19 Medical Risk Assessment1

Individual​
Risk factors​
ā€œCovid-ageā€​
Estimated mortality if infected (range of uncertainty)​
Your patient​
60 year old woman
White
BMI <30
Type 2 diabetes
Rheumatoid arthritis​
71​
14 per 1000 (7 to 28 per 1000);
~1 in 70 chance of dying​
Your patient without medical risk factors​
60 year old female
White
BMI <30​
55​
3 per 1000 (1 to 5 per 1000);
~1 in 333 chance of dying​
High risk friend (father of groom)​
75 year old man
Asian
BMI 35-39.9
Heart failure​
ā‰„85​
60 per 1000 (30 to 119 per 1000);
~1 in 8 chance of dying​
Low risk friend (daughter)​
31 year old woman
White
BMI <30​
26​
0.1 per 1000 (0.07 to 0.3 per 1000);
~1 in 10ā€‰000 chance of dying​
BMIā€‰=ā€‰body mass index


 
Vaccine Side Effects
While you can get the COVID-19 vaccine and have no side effects, there's a chance you could experience something. If it happens to you, don't freak outā€”the CDC says that side effects are normal signs that your body is building protection against the virus, should you ever come into contact with it. Possible side effects include:
  • Pain in the arm where you got the shot
  • Redness around the area where you were vaccinated
  • Swelling in the arm where you got the shot
  • Tiredness
  • Headache
  • Muscle pain
  • Chills
  • Fever
  • Nausea
The CDC study published in late February found that the most commonly reported symptoms were headache (22.4%), fatigue (16.5%), and dizziness (16.5%).
 
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